Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000123 0.000131 0.000139 0.000149 0.000160 0.000171 0.000185
2024-12-15 0.000110 0.000121 0.000133 0.000148 0.000166 0.000186 0.000213
2024-12-22 0.000102 0.000115 0.000130 0.000149 0.000172 0.000202 0.000242
2024-12-29 0.000098 0.000112 0.000129 0.000152 0.000182 0.000221 0.000279
2025-01-05 0.000091 0.000106 0.000124 0.000148 0.000181 0.000227 0.000298
2025-01-12 0.000084 0.000099 0.000117 0.000142 0.000177 0.000227 0.000308
2025-01-19 0.000079 0.000094 0.000112 0.000138 0.000175 0.000228 0.000320
2025-01-26 0.000074 0.000088 0.000106 0.000131 0.000168 0.000223 0.000319
2025-02-02 0.000072 0.000086 0.000105 0.000132 0.000172 0.000234 0.000350
2025-02-09 0.000071 0.000086 0.000105 0.000135 0.000179 0.000251 0.000394
2025-02-16 0.000070 0.000085 0.000106 0.000137 0.000186 0.000268 0.000442
2025-02-23 0.000070 0.000087 0.000109 0.000144 0.000201 0.000302 0.000535
2025-03-02 0.000068 0.000084 0.000107 0.000143 0.000203 0.000313 0.000586
2025-03-09 0.000065 0.000081 0.000104 0.000140 0.000203 0.000322 0.000636
2025-03-16 0.000063 0.000080 0.000103 0.000141 0.000208 0.000340 0.000721
2025-03-23 0.000062 0.000079 0.000103 0.000143 0.000217 0.000370 0.000862
2025-03-30 0.000060 0.000076 0.000100 0.000140 0.000214 0.000372 0.000914
2025-04-06 0.000057 0.000073 0.000096 0.000135 0.000207 0.000364 0.000916
2025-04-13 0.000055 0.000070 0.000093 0.000131 0.000202 0.000360 0.000940
2025-04-20 0.000052 0.000067 0.000088 0.000124 0.000192 0.000343 0.000898
2025-04-27 0.000051 0.000066 0.000088 0.000125 0.000197 0.000363 0.001037
2025-05-04 0.000051 0.000066 0.000088 0.000128 0.000205 0.000394 0.001275
2025-05-11 0.000051 0.000066 0.000089 0.000130 0.000213 0.000426 0.001582